"Nothing clicked. Now it Does."

If you trade options long enough, you eventually run into the same bottleneck: most “setups” are noise.

You can find a bullish indicator, a bearish indicator, a volatility indicator, sometimes all at the same time, and still don’t know when the odds are actually tilted in your favor.

And then you ask: who the F$!#@ even made this model? Just more AI slop?

OK. Take a short ride with me for this post.

We just introduced “OptionSignal™.

It is built to remove some of that noise (and answer the who made this question).

What OptionSignal™ Is (and Why It’s Different)

OptionSignal™ is powered by a Multilayer Perceptron (MLP) (aka “neural network”) with dozens of layers, built specifically to model the market’s non‑linear behavior (where relationships aren’t straight lines and “one indicator” won’t cut it).

The model blends many inputs through multiple layers, including real‑time market data tied to volatility, inflation, economic data, price action, and other instruments.

But… it takes the “echo” of real-time market data and measures how that signal diffuses through the market, like how heat diffuses from a source.

And who made this “OptionSignal”thing?

Hold that thought for just one more sec, but I will answer it… clearly.

The output is intentionally simple: a 1–5 score

OptionSignal™ generates a whole‑number score from 1 to 5, with the official value published at 3:45pm ET.

1 = Bearish

5 = Bullish

2–4 = low‑information zone (no trigger)

This matters because a lot of “signals” fail in practice for a simple reason: they encourage constant activity.

OptionSignal™ is engineered to do the opposite: filter signals down to the moments where probability appears to shift.

That multi‑strategy framework is explicitly emphasized in the OptionSignal™ onboarding and webinar materials: the goal is a repeatable portfolio.

OK, now the elephant in the room…

Who Built this?

I did. Cool… so…. who am I…

(This is sort of long so, ya know, you can scan it to get to the good stuff after it.)

I am Ophir Gottlieb (yay), the CEO & Co-founder of Capital Market Laboratories^®. I have contributed to The Wall Street Journal, Barron’s, Yahoo! Finance, CNNMoney, Bloomberg, MarketWatch, and currently on Bloomberg, Reuters, and Factset terminals.

I am a former option market maker on the NYSE ARCA and CBOE exchange floors, and a former hedge fund manager and lead trader for Governance Investors.

I have turned a part of my focus away from institutional finance and re-dedicated my energy to helping all people find the capacity and facility to invest with the same confidence and information available to only the top 0.1%.

Current readers of CML Pro research include more than 500 institutions like Morgan Stanley, Goldman Sachs, JP Morgan, Alliance Bernstein, Bank of America, UBS, Tiger Global, Citadel, Citi, Dodge & Cox, Franklin Templeton, and hundreds more.

But, in addition, tens of thousands of retail investors also receive the same research at the same time as the institutions.

But more to the point of OptionSignal™:

I am the inventor of the Forensic Alpha Model (FAM) and a co-inventor of Accounting and Governance Risk Model (AGR), both now owned commercially by MSCI.

SSRN lists my research, as one of the earliest scientists to identify deep learning, and in particular, neural networks, as a novel approach to examining financial markets while also whole wholeheartedly incorporating corporate governance.

My methodological approach taken in creating FAM was endorsed by the head of artificial intelligence for the state of Germany as a novel and extraordinary application of advanced machine learning and quantitative finance.

FAM and AGR are used by asset managers worldwide with over $1 trillion of assets under management.

I am also the inventor of the ‘Fraud Swap,’ the first and only mathematically verified derivative to swap the risk of fraud out of a stock portfolio.

I initiated work on the Fraud Swap while at Stanford University and upon completion was endorsed for that work by Kay Giesecke, a Professor of Management Science & Engineering at the University.

In furthering my analysis and the patent pending derivative, I presented my findings at the 72nd CFA Institute Annual Conference held in London in 2019 covering AI and the Future: Developments, Ethics, and Financial Transformation. A full video of my presentation and the patent pending mathematics and derivative are available here.

My mathematics, measure theory, and machine learning background stems from my graduate work in financial mathematics at Stanford University.

Why This Matters: “More Signal” Isn’t the Goal. Better Filtering Is

Most trading tools try to give you more: more scanners, more indicators, more alerts.

(Also lots of and emojis like rockets (yay).)

OptionSignal™ takes the opposite approach:

• One score

• Five strategies

• Clear triggers

• Backtested comparisons vs. “No Model” with reported statistical significance

  • Check out the webinar to see the results in detail.

That’s the product thesis in plain English:

Identify when markets stop being a coin flip, then deploy the right strategy for that regime.

Here is a 5 minute video (if you like):

What It Looks Like in Real Time

Pre-market View:

9:45 – 3:35 pm View

3:35 – 3:45 pm Progressive View

3:45 pm View

OptionSignal’s rating is official at 3:45pm ET, and SPY/QQQ can offer extended trading hours that provide an extra execution window (an additional ~15 minutes for certain option contracts).

When a final score is a 1 or a 5 the associated strategies will have their status updated to “Active”.

By clicking on the associating trigger, you will then be able to see the exact options that TradeMachine® OptionSignal™ would use for the strategy:

What It Looks Like in Real Trades

A TradeMachine® and OptionSignal™ user tracked their personal trades and shared them with us:

• The trader cycled through SPY and QQQ spreads/diagonals with short holding periods (often just a few days).

• That’s a 83% win rate in a small sample, but it also shows the reality of options: losers can be larger than winners.

This is exactly why OptionSignal™ is structured as a portfolio of strategies rather than a single “holy grail” trade.

It’s also why the strategy specs emphasize profit targets, time exits, and loss constraints, because outcomes are probabilistic, not deterministic.

Testimonials: But what is everyone else experiencing?

---

---

---

---

---

Conclusion

At its core, OptionSignal™ is not about predicting markets with certainty, it’s about filtering noise, respecting probability, and acting only when the odds meaningfully shift.

If you’ve ever felt overwhelmed by indicators, alerts, or conflicting signals, OptionSignal™ represents a fundamentally different approach: less activity, better filtering, and a repeatable process built for longevity, not adrenaline (or rocket emojis).

Ready to Trade With Clearer Signals?

If you want a cleaner, probability-driven way to examine SPY and QQQ options, without drowning in indicators or forcing trades, OptionSignal™ was built for you.

👉 Learn about OptionSignal™ today

Legal

OptionSignal™ provides probabilistic, model-based insights for educational purposes only. It is not investment advice, and past or simulated results are not indicative of future performance. Trading options involves substantial risk and may result in the loss of capital.

The information contained here is provided for general informational purposes, as a convenience to the readers. The materials are not a substitute for obtaining professional advice from a qualified person, firm or corporation. Consult the appropriate professional advisor for more complete and current information. Capital Market Laboratories (“The Company”) does not engage in rendering any legal or professional services by placing these general informational materials on this website.

The Company specifically disclaims any liability, whether based in contract, tort, strict liability or otherwise, for any direct, indirect, incidental, consequential, or special damages arising out of or in any way connected with access to or use of the site, even if I have been advised of the possibility of such damages, including liability in connection with mistakes or omissions in, or delays in transmission of, information to or from the user, interruptions in telecommunications connections to the site or viruses.

The Company makes no representations or warranties about the accuracy or completeness of the information contained here. Any links provided to other server sites are offered as a matter of convenience and in no way are meant to imply that The Company endorses, sponsors, promotes or is affiliated with the owners of or participants in those sites, or endorse any information contained on those sites, unless expressly stated.